Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.250227 0.294828 0.342336 0.396428 0.456032 0.519442 0.591732
2024-10-13 0.185765 0.244991 0.312629 0.394475 0.489731 0.596058 0.722664
2024-10-20 0.141536 0.208709 0.290703 0.395509 0.523328 0.671719 0.854558
2024-10-27 0.113155 0.185860 0.280291 0.406983 0.567715 0.760374 1.004244
2024-11-03 0.092032 0.168135 0.273006 0.420016 0.613053 0.850765 1.158417
2024-11-10 0.075304 0.153076 0.266577 0.432279 0.656652 0.939508 1.312563
2024-11-17 0.057389 0.132244 0.248814 0.426615 0.675202 0.996131 1.427424
2024-11-24 0.045940 0.119244 0.240364 0.432280 0.707929 1.070824 1.565963
2024-12-01 0.034659 0.103560 0.225310 0.426343 0.723357 1.122297 1.674996
2024-12-08 0.024387 0.086559 0.205336 0.410578 0.723080 1.151680 1.754836
2024-12-15 0.019609 0.079770 0.201661 0.419269 0.757621 1.228332 1.897765
2024-12-22 0.013960 0.068634 0.188319 0.410930 0.766042 1.268596 1.992286
2024-12-29 0.011872 0.066376 0.191784 0.431017 0.818582 1.372649 2.176380
2025-01-05 0.008626 0.059068 0.184092 0.431407 0.840830 1.434404 2.304110
2025-01-12 0.006247 0.053089 0.178087 0.434006 0.866226 1.500889 2.439214
2025-01-19 0.004903 0.050116 0.178101 0.447152 0.908426 1.592179 2.609797
2025-01-26 0.003868 0.047692 0.178929 0.461615 0.952899 1.687324 2.786812
2025-02-02 0.002990 0.045246 0.179283 0.475042 0.995893 1.780887 2.962724
2025-02-09 0.001806 0.039337 0.169980 0.469219 1.006882 1.827173 3.072541
2025-02-16 0.001203 0.036157 0.167046 0.475392 1.037657 1.903123 3.225030
2025-02-23 0.000617 0.031247 0.158309 0.469139 1.047029 1.946833 3.331898
2025-03-02 0.000206 0.025376 0.145111 0.452360 1.037392 1.961108 3.396297
2025-03-09 0.000105 0.023698 0.144383 0.461668 1.072999 2.044844 3.561656